Share this article

No Bottom in Sight as Bitcoin Funding Rate Swings

Bitcoin perpetual funding rates turned slightly negative, reaching an annualized rate of -2%.

Updated Mar 10, 2025, 4:41 p.m. Published Mar 10, 2025, 4:10 p.m.
BTC: Futures Perpetual Funding Rate (Glassnode)
BTC: Futures Perpetual Funding Rate (Glassnode)

What to know:

  • Bitcoin struggles near $80,000 as the funding rate turns slightly negative.
  • Negative funding rates typically mark potential bottoming patterns in bitcoin.

The bitcoin (BTC) perpetual futures funding rate is fluctuating between positive and negative, reflecting market uncertainty. As bitcoin declines and hovers around $80,000, traders are seeking direction, especially after bitcoin lost its 200-day moving average.

The funding rate, set by exchanges for perpetual futures contracts, determines periodic payments between long and short positions. A positive rate means long positions pay shorts, while a negative rate means shorts pay longs.

STORY CONTINUES BELOW
Don't miss another story.Subscribe to the Crypto Daybook Americas Newsletter today. See all newsletters

Over the past two weeks, the funding rate has oscillated between positive and negative, indicating indecision. In bull markets, the rate typically remains positive. Recently, the daily funding rate hit a negative -0.006%, equivalent to an annualized rate of -2%, according to Glassnode data.

Historically, bitcoin bottoms have coincided with sustained negative funding rates, which typically coincide with bearish sentiment. Examples include the Covid-19 crash, the FTX collapse, and the 2021 China mining ban. However, over the past two weeks, each bitcoin rally has prompted traders to shift positions, resulting in long liquidations when the price reverses, preventing a sustained period of negative funding rates.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

More For You

Protocol Research: GoPlus Security

GP Basic Image

What to know:

  • As of October 2025, GoPlus has generated $4.7M in total revenue across its product lines. The GoPlus App is the primary revenue driver, contributing $2.5M (approx. 53%), followed by the SafeToken Protocol at $1.7M.
  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.

More For You

Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahead as Liquidity Improves and Fed Rate Cut Odds Climb

Coinbase

The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.

What to know:

  • Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
  • The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
  • Several recent institutional developments, including Vanguard's crypto ETF policy reversal and Bank of America's greenlighting of crypto allocations, have contributed to bitcoin's rebound from recent lows.