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Bitcoin Runs Into Offers Above Price Hurdle Ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls

A strong NFP could bring more losses to the already weak bitcoin market.

Updated Sep 14, 2021, 1:06 p.m. Published Jun 4, 2021, 10:46 a.m.
hurdle

Bitcoin retreated to the sub-$37,000 region, having failed to keep gains above the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) early Friday.

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  • The cryptocurrency was priced near $36,800 at press time – down 6% on the day. The 20-day SMA was seen at $38,400.
  • The four-hour chart shows the cryptocurrency has dived below the uptrend line rising from lows near $33,000, while the relative strength index (RSI) has dipped into a bearish territory below 50.
  • That shows scope for a deeper decline, which will likely materialize if the U.S. nonfarm payrolls figure due at 12:30 UTC blows past expectations. A substantially higher than expected number could boost the probability of an early scaling back of stimulus by the Federal Reserve.
  • The data is expected to show the economy added 664,000 jobs in May, far above 266,000 initially reported for April, according to FXStreet.
  • Likewise, bitcoin may see a recovery if the figure disappoints by a wide margin. That said, the outlook will remain bearish while prices are held under the 200-day SMA at $41,576.
Bitcoin's four-hour chart
Bitcoin's four-hour chart

Also read: Bitcoin Drops After Musk Tweets of Breakup

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Bitcoin Faces Japan Rate Hike: Debunking The Yen Carry Trade Unwind Alarms, Real Risk Elsewhere

japan, flag. (DavidRockDesign/Pixabay/Modified by CoinDesk)

Speculators maintain net bullish positions in the yen, limiting scope for sudden JPY strength and mass carry unwind.

알아야 할 것:

  • Impending BOJ rate hike largely priced in; Japanese bond yields near multi-decade highs.
  • Speculators maintain net bullish positions in the yen, limiting scope for sudden yen strength.
  • BOJ tightening may contribute to sustained upward pressure on global yields, impacting risk sentiment.