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Coinbase Stock Falls After Earnings Disappoints Wall Street on Market Volatility

The crypto exchange cited a drop in crypto prices as a result of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policy and macroeconomic uncertainty as the reason behind the weak quarter.

Updated May 9, 2025, 1:44 p.m. Published May 8, 2025, 8:27 p.m.
Coinbase cryptocurrency exchange app on smartphone (Chesnot/Getty Images)

What to know:

  • Coinbase reported $2 billion in Q1 revenue, falling short of analyst expectations and down from $2.27 billion in Q4.
  • Trading volume dropped 10% to $393.1 billion, with transaction revenue declining 19% as market volatility failed to boost activity.
  • Analysts had already cut forecasts ahead of the report, citing weaker trading since January amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

Shares of Coinbase (COIN) fell nearly 3% in post-market trading after it reported a significant drop in revenue in the first quarter of the year, missing analyst estimates, as markets cooled amid economic uncertainty in the U.S.

The crypto exchange said it recorded $2 billion in revenue, down from $2.27 billion in the fourth quarter and lower than Street estimates of $2.1 billion. The company also reported earnings per share of $0.24, missing the average analyst estimate of $1.93, according to FactSet data.

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Trading volume fell 10% to $393.1 billion quarter over quarter and transaction revenue came in at $1.3 billion, about 19% lower than in the fourth quarter.

“Q1 saw increased average Crypto Asset Volatility with BTC reaching a new all-time high price in January. However, crypto prices dropped alongside broader market declines driven by tariff policy and macroeconomic uncertainty,” Coinbase wrote in a letter to shareholders.

Analysts at J.P. Morgan, Barclays, and Compass Point had all slashed their forecasts before the earnings report as crypto trading volume slowed sharply since January amid uncertainties about the future of the U.S. economy.

Trading platform Robinhood (HOOD), whose retail-focused clientele is often compared to Coinbase’s trader base, in April reported a 13% drop in transaction-based revenue.

Coinbase’s $2.9 billion acquisition of derivatives exchange Deribit, however, positions it as the new leader in global crypto options trading, overtaking Binance and other rivals. The move sets the stage for a new chapter in derivatives markets — one that investors will be watching closely.

Read more: Coinbase's $2.9B Deribit Deal a 'Legitimate Threat' for Peers, Wall Street Analysts Say

UPDATE (May 8, 20:43 UTC): Adds additional paragraph at the end and share price decline.

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Coinbase Sees Crypto Recovery Ahead as Liquidity Improves and Fed Rate Cut Odds Climb

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The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.

What to know:

  • Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
  • The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
  • Several recent institutional developments, including Vanguard's crypto ETF policy reversal and Bank of America's greenlighting of crypto allocations, have contributed to bitcoin's rebound from recent lows.