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Coinbase Stock a Buy With Over 60% Upside Amid Trump's New Crypto Regime: Bernstein
The broker initiated coverage of Coinbase shares with $310 price target and outperform rating.
Updated Mar 18, 2025, 2:25 p.m. Published Mar 18, 2025, 12:42 p.m.
What to know:
- Bernstein initiated coverage of Coinbase with an outperform rating and a $310 price target.
- The crypto exchange is the best positioned platform to benefit from regulatory tailwinds under the new Trump administration, the report said.
- The broker said rising U.S. onshore dominance of the crypto market is expected to offset competitive pressures that Coinbase may face.
The crypto industry is expected to join the financial mainstream in the U.S. as the regulatory environment improves, and Coinbase (COIN) is well positioned to benefit from these tailwinds, broker Bernstein said in a report Monday.
Bernstein initiated coverage of the crypto exchange with an outperform rating and a $310 price target. About 41% of Wall Street analysts have a buy rating on the stock, 7% sell and the rest hold, according to FactSet data. The shares dropped 2% to $185.20 in early trading.
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Regulatory clarity will result in more competition for Coinbase from fintech companies, brokers and banks, the report said.
Still, a "strong bull market and rising U.S. onshore dominance" is expected to more than offset market share and pricing pressures, analysts led by Gautam Chhugani wrote.
An improving regulatory backdrop under Donald Trump's new administration is viewed as a huge tailwind for digital assets, and the President has promised to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the world."
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has formed a new crypto task force led by Commissioner Hester Peirce to draft new regulations for the industry.
Coinbase has done well to diversify beyond trading, the report said, and the exchange now has a strong presence in U.S. dollar stablecoins and crypto yield services, such as staking.
Bernstein said it expects Coinbase to grow non-trading revenues by around a 31% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2024-2026.
This provides a "strong balance to cyclicality of trading revenues," the report added.
Coinbase recently secured FIU registration, paving the way for a return to the Indian market, the company said in a blog post earlier this month.
Read more: Coinbase Plans India Comeback After Securing Regulatory Registration With FIU
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