Analysis


News Analysis

U.S. Election Betting: What's at Stake in Final (?) CFTC-Kalshi Showdown

Here's how to listen to Thursday's hearing in the closely watched federal court case over political prediction markets, and why it matters.

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 01:  Commodity Futures Trading Commission Chairman Rostin Behnam testifies about the collapse of the cryptocurrency exchange company FTX before the Senate Agriculture, Nutrition and Forestry Committee in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on Capitol Hill on December 01, 2022 in Washington, DC. In his first public comments since his business collapsed, Sam Bankman-Fried told the New York Times Wednesday that management and accounting failures were the reason for the collapse of his $32 billion company, which has sparked civil and criminal investigations. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Markets

A Bitcoin Chart That Offers Hope to Battered Crypto Bulls

Bitcoin's price action since late April seems to have bullish undertones.

Trading screen.

Markets

Ethena's Yield Machine Sees $1B Outflows as Crypto Market Cools – But There's Good News

The protocol faced a challenging environment as yields from arbitraging bitcoin and ether funding rates tumbled to near-zero. Even so, its USDe token held steady to its $1 peg.

Digitally altered photo of a dollar bill (Ryan Quintal/Unsplash, Modified by CoinDesk)

News Analysis

Kamala Harris Will 'Win' First Debate With Trump, Polymarket Traders Are Betting

Also, there are now prediction market contracts about other prediction market contracts.

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - SEPTEMBER 02: Flanked by labor union leaders, Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks to union workers during a campaign event on September 02, 2024 at Northwestern High School in Detroit, Michigan. Harris is scheduled to host another event in Pennsylvania later in the day. (Photo by Scott Olson/Getty Images)

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Markets

Bitcoin Posts Negligible Bounce, but Extreme Fear Suggests Larger Rebound in Store

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to levels that previously have presaged a sizable move higher in bitcoin prices.

(Art Institute of Chicago/Unsplash)

Markets

Bitcoin Margin Longs on Bitfinex Defy Bearish Seasonality

The number of bullish bets raised with the help of borrowed funds has steadily increased since late August.

BTC margin longs on Bitfinex. (Coinglass)

Finance

Bitcoin Mining Is So Rough a Miner Adopted Michael Saylor's Successful BTC Strategy

Marathon Digital sold bonds to fund bitcoin purchases, following the route Saylor's MicroStrategy has taken to big stock market gains, as mining profits dwindle.

MicroStrategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, left, and Marathon Digital CEO Fred Thiel (Jesse Hamilton/CoinDesk)

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Finance

Ether ETFs Have Bled Money, but That's Not the Whole Story

BlackRock's ETHA and other Ethereum funds have collected billions of dollars worth of inflows. Massive outflows from the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) have overshadowed that, though.

Grayscale's outflows overshadow big inflows from the rest of the ether ETFs. (Fineas Anton/Unsplash)

Markets

Trump's Election Odds Are Not The Dominant Driver of Bitcoin's Price, Data Show

Many crosscurrents influencing prices, such as U.S. monetary policy expectations and supply overhangs, might be responsible for the weak correlation between election odds and BTC prices.

Bitcoin price could be tied to the outcome of the U.S. election, Jefferies said. (Danny Nelson/CoinDesk)