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Kraken’s Q3 2025 Momentum Explained: Market Drivers, Growth, and Other Angles

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Written & Edited by
Shilpa Lama

03 December 2025 14:38 UTC
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Kraken’s Q3 2025 update came at a time when the exchange recorded its strongest numbers in a while. The company reported higher revenue, a sharp improvement in adjusted earnings, and a visible rise in platform usage. Those outcomes pushed the exchange back into focus as traders and analysts looked for the underlying drivers of the quarter. The key question now is: what drove this momentum?

Market backdrop: What changed in Q3

Q3 2025 produced a clear deviation in momentum in crypto activity, and that change probably created just about the right backdrop for Kraken’s results. 

For instance, Bitcoin spent most of the quarter in a higher price band, which widened day-to-day moves and opened more decisive trading intervals. Higher volatility usually pushes volume across spot pairs, and that pattern held as activity rose across the majors.

Similarly, perpetual markets also saw higher activity as traders reacted to short-term price swings. The effect extended to regulated venues such as CME, where crypto futures across Bitcoin and Ethereum drew stronger interest from institutions that preferred exchange-monitored products.

Kraken’s own crypto adoption survey added further context to this trend. The survey reported that 88% of current holders plan to continue investing in the next 12 months, up from 73% a year earlier. It also found that 70% of respondents felt higher confidence in crypto compared to last year, and 46% increased their holdings over the same period. 

That change matched broader conditions in Q3, when liquidity improved across top assets and more institutions rebuilt positions after a slow first half of the year.

All factors considered, you could argue that this mix of stronger prices, higher volatility, wider adoption, and deeper liquidity created market conditions that ultimately rewarded exchanges with stable infrastructure and broad product coverage. 

Kraken’s financial surge

The evolving market conditions translated into a clear jump in Kraken’s own numbers. The exchange reported $648 million in Q3 revenue, a 114% rise from the same period last year. 

The improvement carried through to profitability as well. Kraken posted $178.6 million in adjusted earnings, a sharp surge from the slightly negative figure it recorded a year earlier.

Activity on the platform reflected this spike. Kraken processed $561.9 billion in total transaction volume during the quarter as users traded more across major assets. The base of active customers also expanded. The exchange said its funded accounts increased 46%, reaching 5.2 million by the end of Q3.

Asset growth on the platform followed the same direction. Total assets under custody rose 89% to $59.3 billion, a move that aligned with higher crypto prices and renewed inflows from both retail and institutional participants.

Taken together, these figures show that Kraken’s performance mirrored the wider market pattern described in the previous section. 

Stronger prices, higher volatility, and broader user intent set the stage, while the exchange’s volume, account growth, and asset inflows captured the direct effect of that environment.

What drove the performance

On a closer look, Kraken’s results seem to reflect more than just a market-driven lift. Several internal changes also appear to have played a direct role in the quarter’s outcome. 

The upswing in Bitcoin’s price, as mentioned earlier, created more trading windows across major assets, and Kraken captured that activity through deeper liquidity across its core markets. 

Retail users expectedly reacted to the stronger price range, while institutional desks returned with larger orders once liquidity improved.

Meanwhile, the exchange also widened its coverage through strategic additions. 

Kraken grew its US derivatives footprint after acquiring a regulated derivatives business from IG Group on Oct. 16, 2025. The move strengthened its position in a segment that often draws higher activity during volatile periods.

Security remained another important factor. Kraken’s long-standing focus on platform safety aligns with a key finding from its adoption survey, where confidence rose to 70% year-on-year. 

Meanwhile, users who placed a high value on exchange security often consolidated activity on platforms with clear operational track records, and that trend likely supported higher engagement through the quarter.

So, to cut a long story short, these elements shaped Kraken’s performance without necessarily relying on a single individual catalyst. In other words, the market set the base, while the exchange’s broader product shelf and operational stability perhaps strengthened the overall outcome.

Strategic expansion and positioning

Kraken’s stronger quarter coincided with a period of deliberate expansion. The acquisition of a regulated derivatives business from IG Group on Oct. 16, 2025, widened its US footprint and strengthened its position in a segment that often sees heightened activity during volatile markets. 

The move also provided a licensed operational base at a time when regulators have been paying close attention to derivatives trading across the industry.

Beyond the acquisition, Kraken’s broader product coverage and focus on security continued to draw both retail and institutional participants. Together, these moves underline how the exchange aims to compete in a maturing market where scale, compliance, and reliability increasingly define success.

Sentiment analysis: What users and the market say

The overall response to Kraken’s Q3 update leaned positive, mainly due to the scale of the revenue increase and the surge in adjusted earnings. 

These figures seem to have shaped a view that the company entered Q4 from a position of operational stability (and not just short-term momentum). 

That said, while a large chunk of market participants noted the improvement, they are also aware that future quarters will matter more as the market (as always) ruthlessly tests whether this level of activity can hold.

Overall activity on X reflected this mix. Posts that discussed the results often cited the Bloomberg valuation figure as a sign of renewed interest in Kraken’s broader market position, though without any assumption about how demand may form in the future

Comparisons with other US exchanges appeared in several threads, with users focusing on execution, product coverage, and long-term consistency rather than broad endorsements.

Risks and what you should keep in mind

To sum it up, Kraken’s latest quarter showed clear strength, but several factors could influence the road ahead.

Market conditions in the US remain sensitive to changes in interest rates and broader risk appetite. Any major moves across these areas could affect how trading volumes form across the industry. Crypto markets also move in sharp cycles, which means any downturn in price or activity could affect revenue that depends heavily on trading volume.

Apart from that, regulatory uncertainty adds another layer. As of November 2025, US oversight of exchanges continues to evolve. Any new requirement or enforcement action at this point could alter how platforms structure products or serve customers.

(Note that this uncertainty affects the entire sector, not just Kraken. It will likely remain a key variable for any exchange with long-term growth plans.)

Competition with heavyweights like Coinbase, and perhaps to a lesser extent Bitstamp and other derivatives-focused platforms, will also continue to play a role. Any sizable change in market conditions could influence how activity spreads across these venues.

The road ahead for Kraken

Kraken’s latest quarter showed clear momentum, supported by higher market activity, stronger adoption signals, and steady execution across its core business.

The jump in revenue and the improvement in adjusted earnings placed the company in a more confident position as it strengthened its market position. That said, the next phase will depend on how market conditions, regulation, and overall liquidity evolve, but the quarter already set a solid base.

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