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Bitcoin Holds Support; Approaching $50K Resistance

Bitcoin's uptrend is improving despite brief pullbacks.

Updated Mar 6, 2023, 3:09 p.m. Published Aug 16, 2021, 11:23 a.m.
Bitcoin four-hour chart

Bitcoin (BTC) is holding support above $42,000 and could face resistance near $50,000 as short-term momentum behind the short-squeeze rally fades. The cryptocurrency was trading around $47,400 at press time and is up 3% over the past 24 hours.

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The short-term uptrend remains intact despite several overbought pullbacks that were resolved to the upside. Bitcoin remains in breakout mode after rallying past $42,000, which marked the completion of a two-month consolidation phase.

  • The relative strength index (RSI) on the four-hour chart is near overbought levels, which typically precede brief pullbacks. The last extreme overbought reading on July 26 occurred before a 10% pullback.
  • Bitcoin has maintained a series of higher price highs since the Aug. 6 breakout above $42,000. This means buyers continue to defend support levels as the broader uptrend improves.
  • The weekly chart has positive momentum signals similar to the start of a crypto rally around November 2020.

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The crypto exchange also took note of a so-called AI bubble that continues to go strong and a weaker U.S. dollar.

What to know:

  • Coinbase Institutional is seeing a potential December recovery in crypto, citing improving liquidity and a shift in macroeconomic conditions that could favor risk assets like bitcoin.
  • The firm's optimism is driven by rising odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in a 93% chance easing next week, and improving liquidity conditions.
  • Several recent institutional developments, including Vanguard's crypto ETF policy reversal and Bank of America's greenlighting of crypto allocations, have contributed to bitcoin's rebound from recent lows.