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DOGE/BTC Triangle Breakout Flags Potential Rally if $0.22 Resistance Clears
Dogecoin rebounds from midday selloff as whale accumulation and ETF speculation drive heavy trading activity.
Updated Sep 3, 2025, 3:18 a.m. Published Sep 3, 2025, 3:18 a.m.
What to know:
DOGE experienced a 4% intraday swing, closing up 1% at $0.213 despite sharp fluctuations.
Trading volume surged 21% above weekly averages, indicating strong market participation.
Speculation on ETF approval and anticipated Fed rate cuts are key factors influencing DOGE's price movements.
News Background
- DOGE swung 4% intraday between $0.207 and $0.215 in the 24h session from Sept. 2 at 02:00 to Sept. 3 at 01:00.
- Trading volume surged to 949M, about 21% above weekly averages, signaling strong market participation.
- ETF speculation remains a catalyst: Polymarket odds of DOGE ETF approval rose to 71% from 51% ahead of October deadlines.
- Broader macro backdrop supports risk flows: traders now price in four Fed rate cuts by year-end, starting September.
Price Action
- DOGE opened near $0.211 and closed at $0.213, up about 1% despite sharp intraday swings.
- Midday selloff (12:00 GMT) pushed price to $0.207, with 811M tokens traded on the decline.
- A recovery phase into 21:00 GMT lifted DOGE to $0.215, backed by 949M tokens across the rally.
- Final-hour action (01:50–02:00) saw a 2% spike from $0.21 to $0.22 on 21M tokens, showing late-session buying interest.
Technical Analysis
- Support: $0.207–$0.210 held multiple times with high-volume demand.
- Resistance: $0.215–$0.220 capped upside moves across repeated tests.
- Momentum: Short-term momentum gauges tilted positive after the recovery; RSI near neutral range but rising.
- Patterns: Descending triangle on DOGE/BTC pairs broke upward, flagged by CryptoKaleo, pointing to potential continuation if $0.22 clears.
- Volume: 21% surge above weekly averages confirms strong participation, likely institutional plus retail dip-buying.
What Traders Are Watching
- A clean breakout above $0.22 to open $0.25–$0.30 upside range.
- Whether $0.21 base continues to hold under pressure; a breakdown reopens $0.20 test.
- ETF speculation flows and Fed policy shifts as near-term catalysts.
- Whale behavior — if accumulation sustains during consolidation, bias leans bullish.
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