Polymarket
U.S. Recession Odds on Polymarket Plunge to 22% as Trade Tensions Cool
Perceived odds of a U.S. recession peaked at 66% back in April as Wall Street banks were raising red flags, yet they have since plunged as trade negotiations advanced.

Stablecoins Are the ‘Quiet Winners’ of Polymarket’s Surge: Coinbase Research
Polymarket’s growth fuels USDC demand, with stablecoins driving high-velocity settlement activity.

Polymarket on the Verge of Raising $200M at $1B Valuation: Report
Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund leads the round, and the $200 million includes $50 million in previously unannounced funding.

The Probability of Iran Blocking Strait of Hormuz Surges to 52% On Polymarket After Trump's Air Strikes on Iran's Nuclear Facility
BTC held above $100K, continuing its boring multi-week rangeplay.

Polymarket Odds on U.S. Military Action Against Iran Slide as Trump Team Proposes Tehran Talks
Odds of U.S. military strike against Iran before July slide.

Polymarket Partners Up With Elon Musk's xAI
Shayne Coplan, the prediction market's CEO, said that the two "truth-seeking apps" would be stronger together.

Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out
The event throws into question the perceived heightened accuracy of betting markets like Poymarket over conventional polls.

Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls
Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance.

U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year.

Polymarket, UMA Communities Lock Horns After $7M Ukraine Bet Resolves
The bet was resolved as 'yes' despite no official agreement, leading to suspicions of manipulation by a large UMA token holder, but Polymarket defended the UMA voting process.
