Polymarket


Markets

Polymarket Trader Betting on Donald Trump Win Ends Up Getting 99% Odds

Low liquidity led to massive slippage for one entity trying to buy up Trump “yes” shares in a short period.

Trump poster for 2024 election. (Jon Tyson/Unsplash)

Policy

Activist Group Says Kalshi’s Election Market Should Be Shut Due to 'Manipulative' Whales

Better Markets is using Polymarket's "French connection" as ammo against the prediction market's regulated competitor.

Los Angeles, CA - March 05: A poll worker moves a ballot box as voters to arrive and cast ballots inside the cavernous lobby of the Metro Headquarters Building on Tuesday, March 5, 2024 in Los Angeles, CA. (Brian van der Brug / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

Markets

Trump Polymarket Odds Briefly Dip After His No. 2 Bull Adds Bet on Harris

The former president's probability of retaking the White House slid to 59% Wednesday before rebounding.

GREENSBORO, NORTH CAROLINA - OCTOBER 22: Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump dances on stage after speaking at a campaign rally at the Greensboro Coliseum on October 22, 2024 in Greensboro, North Carolina. With 14 days to go until Election Day, Trump continues to crisscross the country campaigning to return to office. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Opinion

No, Polymarket Whales Aren't Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation

If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.

(Ed Lyman/NOAA)

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Markets

U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi's Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction

In just three weeks, Kalshi's presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails the $2 billion traded on Polymarket since January.

MIAMI, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 21: A person wears an 'I Voted' sticker after casting their ballot in a polling station as early voting begins on October 21, 2024, in Miami, Florida. Early voting runs from Oct. 21 through Nov. 3 in Miami-Dade and Broward. People head to the polls to decide, among other races, the next president of the United States. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

Markets

Kalshi Finds 'Widespread Evidence' of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections

A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.

Donald J. Trump at a rally (Gerd Altmann, modified by CoinDesk)

Markets

Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump 'Launching a Coin'? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided

Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.

PRESCOTT VALLEY, ARIZONA - OCTOBER 13: U.S. Republican presidential nominee, former President Donald Trump dances during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Center on October 13, 2024 in Prescott Valley, Arizona. With leaders of the Border Patrol union in attendance, Trump pledged to hire 10,000 additional border patrol agents if reelected, intensifying his attacks on Democratic opponent Kamala Harris on the issue.  (Photo by Rebecca Noble/Getty Images)

Videos

Trump-Themed Tokens Surge, Bitcoin Forecast to Jump After U.S. Elections

Donald Trump-themed PoliFi tokens saw double-digit gains as the Republican presidential candidate's chances of winning the election surged to a two-month high on Polymarket. ETC Group explains why BTC could jump after the U.S. elections and CoinDesk Anchor Christine Lee presents the "Chart of the Day."

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Markets

Trump's Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket's Prediction Market

His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.

Donald Trump has pulled ahead of Kamala Harris on Polymarket. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

Finance

Former Bitcoin Dev Peter Todd Denies He's Satoshi Hours Before HBO Documentary Airs

"Of course I'm not Satoshi," Todd told CoinDesk Tuesday, saying that filmmaker Cullen Hoback was "grasping at straws."

Former Bitcoin developer Peter Todd, left (HBO)